S.W.O.T.'s

[CAP]

Strengths, Weaknesses, Obstacles and Threats.

This thread is designed to encourage conversation related to invidual opinions, fact or emotion based, concerning the dinar investment. In other words, in your opinion what is the greatest threat we face, that could actually cause this investment to fail. Why?

Similarly, what strengths do you percieve that boost your confidence?

Facts are always welcome, of course, however your emotional responses are encouraged. The reason is to provide balance through the masses. If you are struggling with a threat, maybe someone can provide a helpful response. Or, if you are a little to cocky, maybe coming back to Earth would be beneficial.

For example, to me the single greatest threat (and believe me, I do not consider it to be likely) would be a newly elected government that decides to change the currency. Even then, solutions abound to overcome that obstacle. But in my opinion that threat is greater than say, terrorists winning the war.

Maybe it is a goofy idea, but let's see where the conversation takes us........ :drunk:

[PennStateMtnMan]

I don't think a new government would change the currency. What I am afraid of is a civil war.

[CAP]

I don't think a new government would change the currency. What I am afraid of is a civil war.


Can't argue that point. You are probably right, civil war could be a more likely threat cosidering the religous divide.

[Iraqi Al Yahud]

The quality of the paper on the NID is excellent. Doubt any new changes by any new government. However, civil and or a regional war is very possible now. The US refuses to put sufficient boots on the ground. We need at least 2-3 million troops in Iraq, not just cooks and support staff. Stability is still a long way off.

[Psycho for Dinar]

I believe our biggest threat is Iran.
#1 If Iraq becomes prosporous, their people may decide that the grass could be greener in their own country.

#2 High tensions right now between Iran and Israel regarding the nuclear threat. If Iran get a hold of the uranium enrichment rods they want, Israel said it would do a massive raid. I'm sure an action like this would be felt across the whole Middle East region.

[Iraqi Al Yahud]

The greatest threat to our dinars now is Iran. Israel already has bases in northern Iraq. Kurds in northern Iran are also being prepped for the worse. George W is clueless to what is going on around him

[Jared]

As far as a new currency, one will eventually appear. As the dinar strengthens the higher denomination bills will be phased out. So at some point I would expect the dinars to be in 1,5,10,25,50 and 100. That would be considerably easier than trying to replace the whole thing again. It's a process of elimination and it would work in their favor.

Civil war would be one of the biggest. It looks like Al-Sistani is doing a good job of starting to get things under control but there is a lot of work ahead.

Security, needs to be greatly improved before investors will even think about coming in. They may invest in something that already exists, but many companies will fear bringing their people into the country unless Iraq can prove that security is working.

Keep the oil flowing. They have to get the insurgents under control. Anytime a pipeline breaks, that's revenue going down the tubes. That is an absolute must for them to get figured out.

It's going to be a long road, but it will be worth the trip!

Jared
:wave:

[joec]

Strengths, Weaknesses, Obstacles and Threats.


SWOTs is actually strengths, weaknesses, OPPORTUNITIES, and threats. With obstacles in there, you are looking at more negatives than positives. The point of a SWOTs analysis is to identify strengths and weaknesses, and then look at possible opportunities and possible threats in the internal and external environments

[CAP]

I realize that, but I wanted to use this as a derivative of the sales driven formula. It is intended to be a generic acronym in this example. Not trying to lead a strategic sales meeting with the thought, just trying understand what others view as potential obstacles to our success. :o

[Jared]

George W is clueless to what is going on around him

Trust me, he knows. This is a political bomb waiting to happen. W will not take any action on this until after the elections (if he wins).

Jared :wave:

[Dinars2Dollars]

As far as a new currency, one will eventually appear. As the dinar strengthens the higher denomination bills will be phased out. So at some point I would expect the dinars to be in 1,5,10,25,50 and 100. That would be considerably easier than trying to replace the whole thing again. It's a process of elimination and it would work in their favor.

I think they already have 50's & 250's -- then up from there. Not sure if the smaller ones exist yet, or coins for that matter. I dont think they will replace this currency for denomination reasons, maybe just create/print smaller denominations and phase out the bigger bills as they are cashed in.

My biggest concern is that it never goes to free market float on FOREX and stays fixed for years and years and years.

[IraqiFreedom]

The greatest threat to our dinars now is Iran. Israel already has bases in northern Iraq. Kurds in northern Iran are also being prepped for the worse. George W is clueless to what is going on around him
First, I agree that Iran is one of the greatest threats, if not the number one threat to the Dinar. But...

GW named Iran as part of, what he coined, the Axis of Evil, long ago, meaning the countries that pose the greatest threat to world security. The instability in Iraq is largely from Iranian tampering and the followers of Sadr, who appears much more radical than other clerics, such as Ali al-Sistani and the moderate cleric that Sadr assasinated. I really don't have a good feel for how wide Sadr's support is, but it appears to be limited compared to Ali al-Sistani; none the less, it could consist of a significant following. Sadr essentially represents the Taliban of Iraq, and, while I can't say how, I'm confident that all required force will be implemented to prevent he and his followers from dominating the political system in Iraq; Sadr and his buddies will choose to allow Iraq to become a free society or die. They remain alive today only because the temporary government has, for the moment, elected to prioritize diplomacy.

Iran is definitely a near term threat to the Dinar by involving itself in Iraq's affairs. Iran would be smart to stop tampering in Iraq and to stop it's nuclear program. Americans are pretty tolerant people, but a major initiative by Iran or a drawn out continuation of footage of US soldiers being killed could eventually create political pressure that would result in bringing out the big guns that have yet to be displayed in Iraq. George Bush, is trying to fight a merciful war to protect as many innocent people as possible, sparing Iraq from the overwhelming destruction that was seen in Dresden or Hiroshima. Remember, while the US want's to create a free Iraq, The US's primary motivation is to eliminate safe haven for terror groups in order to prevent them from aquiring more destructive weopons and mobilizing into the US.

I believe that all of this disorder will only delay the Dinar's increase in value, because the oppositional forces will eventually concede or be eliminated. I can wait 5-10 years if necessary. If Dinars end up being an excellent retirement fund in 20 years, that works for me too.

[FAST1]

Very good post, I am in agreement with you on your views. I could not have said it better myself.