I believe that the world learned a lesson from the aftermath of WWI when it came to Germany. The victors, England, France, etc. held Germany to such an intolerable reparation plan that it kept Germany virtually bankrupt. The victors felt this would help keep Germany in check and make them impotent to build antoher war machine. As we all know this backfired. Germany became so frustrated and angered at the terms of the deal that they just said ...screw them. They bought into an ideology of Nationalism that was preached by a few and the movement grew into a juggernaut that culminated in the election and ultimate coupe de tat that plunged the world into global war. The western world does not want to see Iraq held to such a deal that would instigate the population to seek other help..i.e. Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia, China etc. to give them relief or worse....have a new government that is really trying to believe the west and set up a democracy that is friendly to the west pressured to a point that they say ....screw it, we'll just refuse to pay or cooperate and stop the flow of oil and join the other muslim nations in a war against the infidels. So.... bottom line in my opinion is that we (the western nations) are going to make sure that Iraq is successful and restored to the prosperous nation that they truly can be. It is in our best interests to make them prosperous again, and soon.
Just my opion on the reason that no matter what we think will keep the dinar low....it can be valued at whatever the world and iraq agree to. We don't want them to debut as a third world level...that would be catasrophic for all involved. Iraqi's would put down the plow share and pick up the sword as we would prove the terrorist invaders of Iraq correct.
thank you for listening......Mike
$.26-$.42 usd/dinar by end of may. Rising to 1usd/1dinar by eoy '08. (gonna get into community volunteer work.....after golf)